Will Jagan repeat 1983?

 The Byelection in Andhra Pradesh on June 12 will decide the fate of congress in State; and authority over central leadership in Delhi as Andhra Pradesh contributes 42 Lok Sabha seats .

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                                          Is congress afraid of Jagan Mohan  Reddy ,or it feels that ot will be able to get Jagan  afraid by CBI?  Will  upcoming corruption allegation  on Jagan Reddy by CBI  boomerang  congress ?or  will it  really give people a sense that YSR’s son is really corrupt whom they consider their messiah as CBI accuses him of amassing wealth disproportionate to his known sources of income during his late father Y S Rajasekhara Redd’s tenure as chief minister between 2004 and 2009.Will jagan be able to give congress smashing  reply by sweeping june 12 by election? Within a couple of days after Jagan’s arrest , Jagan’s mother Y S Vijayalakshmi picked up the baton left by his son and led the campaign from the front. Jagan’s mother is accompanying her daughter Sharmila in electioneering .Political observer have started comparing Vijayalakshmi and sharmila with Congress President Sonia Gandhi and her daughter Priyanka Gandhi .  Jagan’s mother is getting sympathy from the voters. what is particularly attracting the crowds to her meeting is the presence of Sharmila.

Whatever the  current situation in ANDHRA PRADESH is , its akin to 1983 lets see how?  Byelection which will be held on June 12 ,one for Lok Sabha seat and 16 for Assembly seat are as crucial as the 1983 general election were, which saw the emergence of Telugu Desam Party (TDP) led by N T Rama Rao who was an actor turned politician. Andhra Pradesh was carved out of Madras state in 1953. Since the state came in existence congress ruled Andhra Pradesh from 1953 to 1983 but their pleasure was marred by N T Rama Rao who floated TDP in 1982 and  sweeped election in 1983 by winning over 200 seats in the 294 seat State Assembly against 56 seats by the congress party. To win the assembly election  against congress was not a cake walk for NTR(N T Rama Rao)in that time. To promote the Telgu Desam Party ,Rama Rao travelled across the state of Andhra Pradesh ,crossing all the districts ,in his van dubbed ‘’Chaitanya Ratham’’(Chaitanya means bringing to life or movement).With his son Hari Krishna as a driver NTR travelled for 75,000 km during his 1982 campaign .With TDP tasting a landslide victory , congress received a set back as it was ousted from the power after 30 years.

Currently 2012,N T RAMA RAO ‘s  ’Chaitanya Ratham’’ yatra is being compared to ‘’Odarpu Yatra’’  Which helped Jagan Mohan garner the support of his father’s base. In Odarpu yatra he travelled for 265 days, met 700 families in 5152 villages, 114 towns and 13 districts ,covering more than 17,430 km of the state which gathered him huge support. On June 12 the byelection will be held on 18 assembly seats -16 of which were with  congress so the congress’s prestige is at stake as it was in 1983.  June 12 , byelection, to an extent will clear the picture how much bigger following  YSR congress has in Andhra Pradesh. it is also a semifinal before 2014 final. Inspite of several road blocks in way ,there are other reasons as well which are giving hard time to UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi.  Jagan’s growing popularity in state is one of them. Here are few alarming bells for congress-

    Post Jagan’s arrest , one MLA has already quit the congress to join YSR congress. On May 30, Bobbili MLA S.K Ranga Rao resigned .

    Things can only get worse for the congress. Andhra Pradesh is crucial for UPA: it contributed 29 seats to UPA -1 and 33 to UPA-2.

    The Congress government in the state is also its only single –party regime in south India .Its fight for the survival for the congress.

      With congress in office for the past eight years, there is a strong feeling of anti-incumbency that goes well beyond the Jagan factor .the votes will split between the TDP and the YSR Congress. the Scheduled Castes ,especially the Malas, and the  Christians are also backing the YSR congress.

When Jagan Mohan Reddy undertook his yatra he was dictated by Congress high command  to give up the  yatra  in mid way but he remained defiant. In between ,the jagan promoted Sakshi tv channel  and sakshi newspaper ,which had been continuously criticizing the then  Andhra Prdesh Chief Minister and congress leadership at Delhi. Ever since YSR died in a helicopter crash on September 2,2009 , differences have multiplied between Jagan and Congress President Sonia Gandhi .He wanted to be Chief minister .She wanted him to wait .When politics stepped in so did the CBI. The agency did not investigate any case when YSR did all that jagan is accused of doing now. Congress’s legislator P. Shankar Rao filed a PIL in Andhra Pradesh High Court seeking a CBI probe into Jagan’s assets on November 21,2010 days later,he became the state’s handlooms and textiles minister.

If the claims are concerned jagan’s assets rose from Rs 36 lakh in 2003-04 to Rs 356 crore , a 1000 fold increase within a space of eight years. Jagan may be guilty of disproportionate assets but the question is why CBI and Congress had not pointed finger at Jagan mohan reddy when his father was alive? The noose tightened more harder on Jagan’s neck  when he parted ways from congress and decided to float his own party.

The thing which has to be observed is –will jagan get emotional support from  voters  in the name of his father’s death and his recent arrest by CBI? Or will people vote for congress ignoring YSR’s contribution to build and flourish the state from a long time, who really brought the poors of Andhra to justice?  But the question remains same will jagan repeat 1983?

 Sundaram Chaurasia,9873702300,

 sundaramchaurasia@gmail.com           

 …………………………………………..(all the suggestions and abuses are welcome)

Thank You.



Ex-IIMC-IAN, journalist in News Express TV Channel!

Who killed the lok-bill-BJP,CONGRESS ,TEAM ANNA or U & ME ?

“we have drafted the best bill ever came to loksabha .the government cant not eschew the promise which it made to the  country on 16^th august by handing over a letter cum sense of the house to us which promised to full-fill our three key demands. a)citizen charter to be a integral part of lokpal.b)bring lower bureaucray under the purview of lokpal bill.c)PM to be brought under lokpal bill.’’was spoken by one of team anna’s prominent member.

There is no point in turning a  toothless bill into constitutional body, its like awarding an fugitive with PARAMVEER CHAKRA.PM has been put under the purview of lokpal bill but he can’t be prosecuted in matters of external relation, internal matter or atomic energy .its again like breastless mother is asked to breastfeed her child.

Was team anna’s suggestion inadequate  for wiping out corruption from country?.if not then why government accepted demands and assured them of incorporating it in strong lokpal bill.the government which says it can keep a close eye on 25 million facebook users and 10 crore google users found itself incompetent to  put 50 lakh group c employees under lokpal on the pretext of not possible for government to observe this number amount of people. lokpal was supposed to be an independent body to tackle corruption of society most prominent of then was top politicians of india such as PM,HM & FM. but government put all rights in its control whether to appoint lokayukta or depose him. no doubt toothless lokpal body would be negatively exercised by govt as it does with CBI. in fact government  was not trying to amend the bill rather it made an effort to make lokpal puppet in hands of government.team anna called the  bill worse than previous one which was presented in AUGUST.

 

There is no point in turning a  toothless bill into constitutional body, its like awarding an fugitive with PARAMVEER CHAKRA.PM has been put under the purview of lokpal bill but he can’t be prosecuted in matters of external relation, internal matter or atomic energy .its again like breastless mother is asked to breastfeed her child. was it  between standing committee Vs good bill.or team anna’s bill against govt’s ego .i am not sure about it but some of audio recording of standing committee meeting between team anna and government reflects it  where kapil sibbal seems to be furious and soughting and locking horns with Prashant Bhushan for no reason.

BJP in whole fiasco is a major player in safe game and have been alleged of concentrating and fomenting TEAM ANNA for negative campaign against congress in five states assemble electons. well away from lokpal whatsoever development are taking place as the whole year revolved around letter ‘’C’’ congress and corruption; it is paving way for BJP 2014 victory a final. Shanwaz hussain is heard on television saying ‘’congress is making rod for its own back’’ .as team anna has right to present its view so do BJP therefore their stand on lokpal may be political but they can’t be blamed.

team anna has been alleged of being dictating parliament in terms of clauses of lokpal bill. ‘’Inko bill lana hi padega.............’’-anna hazare .just imagine where the clash between team anna and government has gone.allegations are doing rounds of newspaper- KIRAN BEDI and A.Raja matches to same level of scrutiny of corruption ;anna hazare is RSS agent;kejriwal is TAX CHOR;shanti and prashant bhusan are hand in gloves with U.P government.the ve big question ‘’why all allegation came when anna launched  campaign against corruption.the most prominent one ‘’tum sir se pair tak bhrashtachar me dube hue ho’’ and later manish  tiwari apologized for his comments. I say why he apologized if he had once put a aggressively allegation on him deliberately . in a same manner as digvijay singh says why ‘’ramdev broke his fast if he had gone on fast onto death’’.  

 Govenent says it does not want to outwork accordance with law and parliament dignity.The bill was pending in loksabha since last 44 years who  brought it back again in loksabha. it was not anna hazare……it were you and we who came out on the street in uncounted numbers protested peacefully. the whole country seemed backing team anna’s bill as TIHAD JAIL became tahrir square for a moment .government who arrested him was ready to release him without any condition .was it unde rules?.did it toe the line of parliament dignity when government send sense of house to ramila?was not it a starting of making a law from road?now the govt asserts laws not to be maid from the road?just imagine what had have happened if lakhs of people would have gathered at MMRDA ground and more than that on jantar mantar for peaceful protest ?would not strong bill have been passed?this time who killed the bill?.i dought whether it was you or me because I was busy in my room in taking lunch and u in your office?we took off when there was a cricket world cup final 2011?no one said ,still almost 80% people took to road.We actually don’t care …….who is fasting? …..why is he fasting?......why one leaves his IRS job? Why one does not care of his IIT kharagpur tag?inspite of having 65% youth in our country ,a 72 year old person has to go on fast ;will he be benefited from this bill?the real pain killer of eradicating corruption is U & me.dont u think so? I would finish it off  by quoting prasoon joshi’s line ‘’itna kyon sote hain hum,itna lamba itna gahra beshudh kyon sote hain hum……aakhir kab jagenge hum?its been 44 years of slumber ,no more sleep now.

      

Who killed the lok-bill-BJP,CONGRESS ,TEAM ANNA or U & ME ?

“we have drafted the best bill ever came to loksabha .the government cant not eschew the promise which it made to the  country on 16^th august by handing over a letter cum sense of the house to us which promised to full-fill our three key demands. a)citizen charter to be a integral part of lokpal.b)bring lower bureaucray under the purview of lokpal bill.c)PM to be brought under lokpal bill.’’was spoken by one of team anna’s prominent member.

There is no point in turning a  toothless bill into constitutional body, its like awarding an fugitive with PARAMVEER CHAKRA.PM has been put under the purview of lokpal bill but he can’t be prosecuted in matters of external relation, internal matter or atomic energy .its again like breastless mother is asked to breastfeed her child.

Was team anna’s suggestion inadequate  for wiping out corruption from country?.if not then why government accepted demands and assured them of incorporating it in strong lokpal bill.the government which says it can keep a close eye on 25 million facebook users and 10 crore google users found itself incompetent to  put 50 lakh group c employees under lokpal on the pretext of not possible for government to observe this number amount of people. lokpal was supposed to be an independent body to tackle corruption of society most prominent of then was top politicians of india such as PM,HM & FM. but government put all rights in its control whether to appoint lokayukta or depose him. no doubt toothless lokpal body would be negatively exercised by govt as it does with CBI. in fact government  was not trying to amend the bill rather it made an effort to make lokpal puppet in hands of government.team anna called the  bill worse than previous one which was presented in AUGUST.

There is no point in turning a  toothless bill into constitutional body, its like awarding an fugitive with PARAMVEER CHAKRA.PM has been put under the purview of lokpal bill but he can’t be prosecuted in matters of external relation, internal matter or atomic energy .its again like breastless mother is asked to breastfeed her child. was it  between standing committee Vs good bill.or team anna’s bill against govt’s ego .i am not sure about it but some of audio recording of standing committee meeting between team anna and government reflects it  where kapil sibbal seems to be furious and soughting and locking horns with Prashant Bhushan for no reason.

BJP in whole fiasco is a major player in safe game and have been alleged of concentrating and fomenting TEAM ANNA for negative campaign against congress in five states assemble electons. well away from lokpal whatsoever development are taking place as the whole year revolved around letter ‘’C’’ congress and corruption; it is paving way for BJP 2014 victory a final. Shanwaz hussain is heard on television saying ‘’congress is making rod for its own back’’ .as team anna has right to present its view so do BJP therefore their stand on lokpal may be political but they can’t be blamed.

team anna has been alleged of being dictating parliament in terms of clauses of lokpal bill. ‘’Inko bill lana hi padega.............’’-anna hazare .just imagine where the clash between team anna and government has gone.allegations are doing rounds of newspaper- KIRAN BEDI and A.Raja matches to same level of scrutiny of corruption ;anna hazare is RSS agent;kejriwal is TAX CHOR;shanti and prashant bhusan are hand in gloves with U.P government.the ve big question ‘’why all allegation came when anna launched  campaign against corruption.the most prominent one ‘’tum sir se pair tak bhrashtachar me dube hue ho’’ and later manish  tiwari apologized for his comments. I say why he apologized if he had once put a aggressively allegation on him deliberately . in a same manner as digvijay singh says why ‘’ramdev broke his fast if he had gone on fast onto death’’.  

 Govenent says it does not want to outwork accordance with law and parliament dignity.The bill was pending in loksabha since last 44 years who  brought it back again in loksabha. it was not anna hazare……it were you and we who came out on the street in uncounted numbers protested peacefully. the whole country seemed backing team anna’s bill as TIHAD JAIL became tahrir square for a moment .government who arrested him was ready to release him without any condition .was it unde rules?.did it toe the line of parliament dignity when government send sense of house to ramila?was not it a starting of making a law from road?now the govt asserts laws not to be maid from the road?just imagine what had have happened if lakhs of people would have gathered at MMRDA ground and more than that on jantar mantar for peaceful protest ?would not strong bill have been passed?this time who killed the bill?.i dought whether it was you or me because I was busy in my room in taking lunch and u in your office?we took off when there was a cricket world cup final 2011?no one said ,still almost 80% people took to road.We actually don’t care …….who is fasting? …..why is he fasting?......why one leaves his IRS job? Why one does not care of his IIT kharagpur tag?inspite of having 65% youth in our country ,a 72 year old person has to go on fast ;will he be benefited from this bill?the real pain killer of eradicating corruption is U & me.dont u think so? I would finish it off  by quoting prasoon joshi’s line ‘’itna kyon sote hain hum,itna lamba itna gahra beshudh kyon sote hain hum……aakhir kab jagenge hum?its been 44 years of slumber ,no more sleep now.